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Red81
717835.5
415911.2
392833.2
Blue71
663722.0
447227.0
412518.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89710204060801001201401608171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7178
#19
35.50.0
36.736.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End14.0
red by 8.5
4472
#44
27.00.1
27.026.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End6.6
Second
3928
#17
33.20.0
31.731.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End4.8
red by 11.2
6637
#62
22.00.1
23.823.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.5
End8.6
Third
4159
#45
11.20.0
12.912.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 7.1
4125
#75
18.30.1
17.817.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned