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Red58
245137.8
717412.2
802019.2
Blue51
262617.2
873811.6
415322.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8545020601001201401605851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#34
37.81.4
43.141.7
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
red by 15.1
4153
#51
22.80.2
23.123.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End10.1
Second
8020
#27
19.21.4
18.517.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End8.0
red by 1.9
2626
#57
17.20.2
13.413.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End8.0
Third
7174
#64
12.21.4
13.311.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 0.5
8738
#71
11.60.2
10.811.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned