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Red106
300813.5
264235.1
261136.8
Blue105
150236.3
223926.4
360326.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8395050150200106105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#32
36.81.5
35.336.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End10.5
red by 0.5
1502
#55
36.30.9
35.536.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End8.7
Second
2642
#26
35.11.5
30.932.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End12.2
red by 8.7
2239
#50
26.40.9
24.625.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End11.5
Third
3008
#46
13.51.5
13.214.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
blue by 12.6
3603
#63
26.10.9
27.528.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned