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Red103
321830.2
107332.2
490741.9
Blue66
874216.4
17951.2
817733.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312105015020010366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#15
41.90.3
37.537.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5
blue by 9.3
179
#13
51.23.0
57.654.5
Auto15.7
Teleop25.0
End10.5
Second
1073
#40
32.20.3
31.231.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
blue by 1.4
8177
#49
33.63.0
35.432.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End11.3
Third
3218
#36
30.20.3
30.430.7
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End11.9
red by 13.8
8742
#66
16.43.0
18.315.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed