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Red99
312825.1
656028.6
283913.0
Blue81
364724.7
325526.5
498415.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647240506080901001109981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
27.027.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End7.0
red by 2.1
26.50.4
26.426.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
25.10.7
23.524.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 0.4
24.70.4
24.625.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
Third
2839
#19
13.00.9
10.911.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End6.7
blue by 2.6
4984
#15
15.60.3
15.515.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9