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Red107
312825.1
656028.6
283913.0
Blue57
364724.7
325526.5
498415.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6773405060809010011010757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.0
27.628.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End7.0
red by 2.1
26.50.3
26.826.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
25.11.0
24.125.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 0.4
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
Third
2839
#19
13.01.3
11.713.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End6.7
blue by 2.6
4984
#15
15.60.2
15.915.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9