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Red47
401410.0
37046.3
364724.7
Blue59
265816.3
298414.8
853714.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363301020405060704759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.5
16.117.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 8.4
2658
#11
16.31.7
14.616.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
4014
#40
10.01.5
8.810.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End4.9
blue by 4.8
2984
#22
14.81.7
8.410.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
3704
#44
6.31.5
8.29.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 8.5
14.71.0
8.49.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed