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Red34
334112.3
210221.0
41143.3
Blue29
41608.1
427014.5
153825.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36361020304050603429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.0
15.916.0
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End2.9
blue by 4.6
1538
#13
25.50.6
12.712.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Second
3341
#20
12.30.1
9.19.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End7.7
blue by 2.2
4270
#46
14.50.4
11.310.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End7.8
Third
4114
#38
3.30.1
8.58.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop0.6
End3.5
blue by 4.7
4160
#37
8.10.6
10.29.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed