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Red19
68853.6
81196.2
298414.8
Blue25
50254.8
88705.2
325526.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27280102040501925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#22
14.81.3
10.18.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
blue by 11.7
26.50.1
14.514.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
8119
#48
6.21.3
6.55.2
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
red by 1.0
8870
#49
5.20.1
7.37.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.4
Third
6885
#52
3.61.3
9.78.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End0.9
blue by 1.2
5025
#41
4.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned