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Red29
271015.5
40197.4
283913.0
Blue54
334112.3
473815.8
498415.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35361020304050602954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#34
15.50.6
13.513.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End5.1
blue by 0.3
4738
#33
15.82.3
11.814.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
Second
2839
#19
13.00.9
12.511.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End6.7
blue by 2.6
4984
#15
15.61.4
14.215.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9
Third
4019
#26Sur
7.40.9
7.56.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End3.4
blue by 4.9
3341
#20Sur
12.32.3
7.29.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned