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Red45
498415.6
254312.8
388218.0
Blue49
656028.6
30207.3
12668.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38370102030506070804549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#27
18.01.0
12.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.7
blue by 10.6
28.60.7
21.321.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End7.0
Second
4984
#15
15.60.7
13.614.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9
red by 6.9
1266
#36
8.71.1
8.69.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Third
2543
#12
12.81.0
10.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.3
red by 5.5
7.30.7
5.46.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed