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Red21
248516.0
81212.3
39658.7
Blue47
473815.8
265816.3
68853.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050602147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#16
16.01.3
12.210.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
blue by 0.4
2658
#11
16.31.7
12.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
812
#24
12.31.3
10.18.8
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End8.9
blue by 3.5
4738
#33
15.81.7
11.112.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
Third
3965
#47
8.70.9
10.49.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.6
End2.3
red by 5.1
6885
#52
3.61.7
8.09.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed