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Red34
153825.5
513713.7
19727.9
Blue18
388218.0
12668.7
88705.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372901020405060703418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#13
25.50.1
12.112.2
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
red by 7.6
3882
#27
18.01.2
13.812.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Second
5137
#25
13.70.1
10.810.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 5.0
1266
#36
8.71.2
7.46.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Third
1972
#31
7.90.1
10.410.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End1.9
red by 2.7
8870
#49
5.21.2
7.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed