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Red38
254312.8
800611.2
699522.1
Blue20
248516.0
50254.8
68853.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372301030506070803820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.5
11.211.7
Auto7.5
Teleop4.4
End10.1
red by 6.1
2485
#16
16.00.4
11.310.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
Second
2543
#12
12.80.5
12.713.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.3
red by 7.9
5025
#41
4.80.2
3.83.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End1.3
Third
8006
#21
11.20.3
9.29.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.8
red by 7.5
6885
#52
3.60.4
8.48.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed