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Red57
81196.2
312825.1
325526.5
Blue45
39658.7
271015.5
265816.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47401020306070805745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.5
17.318.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 10.2
2658
#11
16.30.7
16.917.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
25.10.9
19.520.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 9.6
2710
#34
15.50.4
12.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Third
8119
#48
6.21.5
6.58.1
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 2.5
3965
#47
8.70.4
8.79.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed