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Red30
157212.6
41143.3
364724.7
Blue24
28275.9
498415.6
800611.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3737242832343638403024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
20.219.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 9.1
4984
#15
15.60.7
16.615.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9
Second
1572
#23
12.61.0
8.87.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End4.1
red by 1.4
8006
#21
11.20.7
9.79.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Third
4114
#38
3.31.0
5.84.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop0.6
End3.5
blue by 2.6
2827
#53
5.91.2
8.57.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed