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Red54
491912.7
699522.1
473815.8
Blue60
298414.8
153825.5
528511.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300102040506070805460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.0
16.117.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.4
End10.1
blue by 3.5
1538
#13
25.53.3
14.317.6
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Second
4738
#33
15.81.0
14.715.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
red by 1.0
2984
#22
14.83.3
8.111.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
4919
#14
12.71.0
10.011.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End3.9
red by 1.4
5285
#29
11.32.0
7.89.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed