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Red46
58052.5
312825.1
12668.7
Blue33
853714.7
68853.6
162212.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332401020304050604633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.1
20.421.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 10.4
14.70.1
10.210.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Second
1266
#36
8.71.8
7.39.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
blue by 3.8
1622
#43
12.60.1
8.38.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End6.0
Third
5805
#28
2.51.1
2.33.4
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End0.9
blue by 1.1
6885
#52
3.60.2
5.15.3
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed