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Red36
374914.7
427014.5
28275.9
Blue39
12668.7
491912.7
248516.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33371020506070803639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#45
14.70.5
13.113.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End6.0
blue by 1.3
2485
#16
16.00.5
15.115.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
Second
4270
#46
14.50.3
11.912.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End7.8
red by 1.8
4919
#14
12.70.5
10.110.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Third
2827
#53
5.90.5
6.46.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End3.3
blue by 2.8
1266
#36
8.70.5
9.19.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned