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Red79
153825.5
699522.1
30207.3
Blue38
547411.3
162212.6
265816.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801001207938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#13
25.53.1
17.620.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
red by 9.2
2658
#11
16.30.4
17.017.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
22.13.1
17.220.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.4
End10.1
red by 9.5
1622
#43
12.60.2
8.48.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End6.0
Third
7.31.8
4.66.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
blue by 4.0
5474
#30
11.30.4
9.19.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned