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Red44
30207.3
364724.7
41397.0
Blue43
491912.7
741511.9
271015.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939303545504443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
22.922.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 9.2
2710
#34
15.50.1
14.014.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Second
7.30.0
6.56.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
blue by 5.4
4919
#14
12.70.2
10.610.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Third
4139
#42
7.00.1
7.27.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 4.9
7415
#35
11.90.2
12.312.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed