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Red60
312825.1
656028.6
41143.3
Blue30
547411.3
528511.3
81196.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5724040806030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
23.324.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End7.0
red by 17.3
5285
#29
11.30.0
11.111.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.5
Second
25.10.7
21.522.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 13.8
5474
#30
11.30.1
9.59.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Third
4114
#38
3.31.2
4.15.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop0.6
End3.5
blue by 2.9
8119
#48
6.20.1
6.16.1
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed