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Red22
397030.1
68220.3
49737.4
Blue53
76863.8
804513.0
84012.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45280204060801002253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.5
29.227.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End7.2
red by 17.1
8045
#23
13.01.0
12.213.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End6.0
Second
4973
#10
7.41.5
8.67.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End3.7
blue by 5.3
840
#25
12.71.0
12.313.3
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End4.0
Third
6822
#41
0.31.5
2.40.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End-1.9
blue by 3.5
7686
#30
3.81.0
4.15.1
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsEarned