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Red56
641814.8
97133.0
72457.3
Blue68
19910.6
64924.4
550719.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59512040801005668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
33.00.1
31.031.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
red by 8.6
649
#7
24.41.5
20.522.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Second
6418
#15
14.80.1
15.115.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 4.6
5507
#16
19.41.5
18.219.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
7245
#26
7.30.1
8.58.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 3.3
199
#19
10.61.5
10.411.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed