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Qual 782022 San Francisco Regional
Red26
84012.7
641814.8
68220.3
Blue28
476513.8
49737.4
59243.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32240102040506070802628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#15
14.80.5
15.3→14.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
red by 1.0
4765
#14
13.80.3
14.1→14.4
Auto5.5
Teleop2.4
End6.0
Second
840
#25
12.70.5
13.3→12.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End4.0
red by 5.3
4973
#10
7.40.3
7.1→7.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End3.7
Third
6822
#41
0.30.5
0.9→0.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End-1.9
blue by 2.6
5924
#40
3.00.3
2.6→3.0
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed