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Red49
623815.4
415910.2
8419.0
Blue69
696218.3
67023.6
87938.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29520204060804969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6238
#20
15.41.4
13.715.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End6.5
blue by 8.2
670
#8
23.61.1
21.422.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Second
4159
#38
10.21.4
8.810.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.9
blue by 8.1
18.31.1
17.718.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End7.7
Third
841
#35
9.01.4
7.48.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
8793
#28
8.11.1
6.67.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned