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Red147
167870.7
25467.7
741921.9
Blue116
60443.9
97143.8
840417.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1869850150200250147116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.5
71.871.3
Auto14.3
Teleop43.2
End13.3
red by 26.8
604
#4
43.90.3
43.243.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End11.3
Second
254
#1
67.70.5
68.768.3
Auto15.6
Teleop37.5
End14.6
red by 23.8
971
#3
43.80.3
43.143.4
Auto14.4
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Third
7419
#15
21.90.5
22.922.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End8.0
red by 4.0
8404
#30
17.90.3
17.217.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.5