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Red54
107234.0
19210.4
30456.3
Blue118
97232.3
64932.8
76618.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488902040608010012014016054118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.1
33.934.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.9
End9.6
red by 1.3
649
#9
32.80.6
31.131.7
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End7.5
Second
192
#20
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 21.9
972
#14
32.30.6
30.731.3
Auto10.9
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Third
3045
#56
6.30.1
6.36.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
blue by 12.0
766
#17
18.30.6
16.717.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End8.3