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Red41
804815.5
30456.3
203513.5
Blue92
409113.9
641818.1
97143.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27680204060801001204192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#52
15.50.7
11.712.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 28.3
971
#3
43.81.7
34.836.5
Auto14.4
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Second
2035
#58
13.50.7
10.311.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.4
blue by 4.6
6418
#26
18.11.7
15.517.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End5.0
Third
3045
#56
6.30.7
8.59.2
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
blue by 7.6
4091
#39
13.92.8
8.211.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned