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Red61
107234.0
196717.9
68148.5
Blue64
499010.0
541931.3
84013.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62482040801001206164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.0
31.431.4
Auto7.5
Teleop16.9
End9.6
red by 2.7
31.30.6
25.626.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.4
End10.0
Second
1967
#23
17.90.0
16.516.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.3
red by 4.4
840
#48
13.40.6
12.212.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End6.1
Third
6814
#45
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 1.5
4990
#42
10.00.6
9.410.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned