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Red58
541931.3
840417.9
409113.9
Blue117
248915.8
19210.4
167870.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5510220408012014016018058117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
29.829.8
Auto10.0
Teleop11.4
End10.0
blue by 39.4
70.71.5
69.470.9
Auto14.3
Teleop43.2
End13.3
Second
8404
#30
17.90.0
14.214.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 2.1
2489
#38
15.82.5
10.613.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
4091
#39
13.90.0
13.813.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End6.1
red by 3.5
192
#20
10.41.5
10.111.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned