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Red38
70118.6
85212.1
135125.1
Blue56
803329.8
499010.0
418614.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080901001103856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#19
25.11.4
25.724.3
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End4.4
blue by 4.7
8033
#11
29.80.8
29.228.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Second
701
#32
18.61.4
19.918.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 4.2
4186
#21
14.40.8
15.414.6
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
852
#57
12.11.4
12.911.5
Auto5.3
Teleop1.4
End5.4
red by 2.1
4990
#42
10.00.8
11.010.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed