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Red41
599B7.4
210226.8
2102B13.4
Blue94
4414B34.7
3512B33.9
5998.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4777020601001201401604194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#15
26.80.5
28.728.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End8.1
blue by 7.9
34.72.1
32.934.9
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End0.2
Second
13.40.6
14.113.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End4.2
blue by 20.5
33.91.9
30.932.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End10.5
Third
599B
#23
7.40.7
5.04.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.7
blue by 1.6
599
#22
8.91.4
4.96.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed