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Red19
581811.8
392522.0
73274.8
Blue113
441918.2
441462.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399705015020019113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.7
21.820.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End7.7
blue by 40.6
62.51.9
61.963.8
Auto16.5
Teleop40.6
End5.4
Second
5818
#19
11.81.7
15.313.6
Auto0.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 6.4
4419
#13
18.21.9
16.418.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.6
Third
7327
#18
4.81.7
6.85.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 1.9
6.72.6
5.88.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned