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Red72
271015.7
351223.2
6919.6
Blue51
386320.0
581812.1
732318.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41371020305060707251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.23.4
15.619.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End9.6
red by 3.2
3863
#14
20.01.8
11.213.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Second
2710
#17
15.73.4
10.814.2
Auto6.2
Teleop4.1
End5.4
blue by 2.4
7323
#13
18.11.8
13.315.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
691
#18
9.63.4
11.314.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 2.5
5818
#30
12.11.8
10.612.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed