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Red28
85333.8
512416.5
263710.8
Blue39
138814.7
375913.0
508915.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450204060801002839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#15
16.51.0
12.811.8
Auto6.0
Teleop3.9
End6.7
red by 1.2
5089
#21
15.30.2
11.711.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
Second
2637
#24
10.81.0
15.314.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End5.9
blue by 4.0
1388
#26
14.70.2
16.015.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
8533
#40
3.81.0
5.24.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
blue by 9.2
3759
#29
13.00.1
13.213.0
Auto6.5
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed