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Red77
67647.3
512416.5
603622.6
Blue42
513615.9
3998.1
581812.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333701020506070807742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#12
22.64.4
13.918.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
red by 6.7
5136
#25
15.90.7
12.813.5
Auto4.2
Teleop1.3
End10.4
Second
5124
#15
16.54.4
13.317.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.9
End6.7
red by 4.4
5818
#30
12.10.7
13.614.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Third
6764
#38
7.34.4
4.48.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 0.7
399
#32
8.10.7
8.18.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned