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Red29
325610.5
508915.3
9809.2
Blue54
450112.3
213527.2
47115.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39472060802954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#21
15.30.8
16.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
blue by 11.9
27.21.0
26.427.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.9
End8.6
Second
3256
#23
10.50.7
10.49.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End4.8
blue by 1.9
4501
#31
12.30.7
12.513.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Third
980
#19
9.20.7
10.69.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End4.3
red by 3.9
4711
#36
5.40.7
4.14.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsMissed