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Red140
603647.4
715743.9
803340.8
Blue197
364747.0
25462.8
60449.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12216850100150200250140197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#19
47.41.3
41.342.6
Auto16.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
blue by 15.4
254
#21
62.82.5
64.667.0
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
Second
7157
#12
43.91.3
45.947.2
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
blue by 5.6
604
#11
49.62.5
45.047.5
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
Third
8033
#23
40.81.3
33.334.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
3647
#10
47.02.5
42.545.0
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed98%Hangar oddsEarned