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Red191
169062.3
11432.8
167876.8
Blue139
291061.7
170019.0
331052.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712750100150200250300191139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.6
69.671.1
Auto18.7
Teleop44.9
End13.2
red by 15.1
61.70.8
55.456.2
Auto18.2
Teleop31.6
End12.0
Second
1690
#18
62.31.6
64.866.4
Auto20.3
Teleop33.3
End8.7
red by 9.7
52.60.8
51.051.9
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
Third
114
#33
32.81.6
33.234.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
red by 13.9
1700
#38
19.00.8
20.020.9
Auto9.3
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned