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Red185
680055.2
161951.5
449960.4
Blue102
347847.1
69439.2
97221.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411450100150200250185102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.42.5
48.450.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
red by 13.3
3478
#26
47.10.8
44.443.6
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
Second
55.22.5
48.651.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
red by 16.0
694
#24
39.20.8
36.735.9
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Third
1619
#28
51.52.5
50.653.1
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
red by 29.9
972
#39
21.70.8
32.331.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsMissed