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Red139
510436.2
425520.6
25462.8
Blue99
161951.5
248641.8
550729.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512905010015020025013999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#21
62.80.9
67.067.9
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
red by 11.3
1619
#28
51.51.5
53.151.5
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
Second
5104
#27
36.20.9
32.533.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End6.1
blue by 5.6
2486
#25
41.81.5
40.238.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
4255
#36
20.60.9
26.627.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 9.2
5507
#34
29.81.5
28.827.2
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned