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Qual 122022 Chezy Champs
Red111
347645.6
715743.9
317527.2
Blue143
680055.2
291061.7
84639.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615450100200250111143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#16
45.60.7
45.9→45.2
Auto12.2
Teleop24.8
End8.6
blue by 16.1
2910
#2
61.70.1
56.2→56.3
Auto18.2
Teleop31.6
End12.0
Second
7157
#12
43.90.7
47.2→46.5
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
blue by 11.3
6800
#3
55.20.1
51.1→51.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
Third
3175
#37
27.20.7
28.5→27.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 12.1
846
#20
39.30.1
33.9→34.0
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned