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Red145
394044.9
281328.8
60449.6
Blue120
11432.8
293040.3
97148.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013450100150200250145120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#11
49.62.0
47.549.5
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
red by 1.0
971
#13
48.60.3
52.652.3
Auto17.9
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Second
3940
#15
44.92.0
42.744.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
red by 4.6
2930
#30
40.30.3
36.436.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
Third
2813
#31
28.82.0
24.226.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End7.9
blue by 4.1
114
#33
32.80.3
34.834.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned