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Red111
204651.8
97349.1
603647.4
Blue90
170019.0
69639.2
169062.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561345010020025011190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
51.82.4
49.146.7
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
blue by 10.5
1690
#18
62.32.8
66.463.5
Auto20.3
Teleop33.3
End8.7
Second
973
#17
49.12.4
51.649.1
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
red by 10.0
696
#32
39.22.8
41.338.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Third
6036
#19
47.42.4
42.640.2
Auto16.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 28.4
1700
#38
19.02.8
20.918.0
Auto9.3
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsMissed