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Red125
49827.5
441460.0
331052.6
Blue104
449960.4
69439.2
325629.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811750100200250125104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.7
55.354.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
blue by 0.4
60.40.9
50.950.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
Second
52.60.7
51.951.2
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
red by 13.3
694
#24
39.20.9
35.935.0
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Third
498
#29
27.50.7
28.127.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End6.9
blue by 1.7
3256
#35
29.20.9
27.126.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned