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Red188
594055.0
347847.1
703450.5
Blue166
64939.1
35947.1
364747.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16112750100200250188166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.02.8
52.755.5
Auto14.9
Teleop31.9
End8.1
red by 7.9
359
#8
47.12.8
43.646.4
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End10.0
Second
50.52.8
50.353.1
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
red by 3.4
3647
#10
47.02.8
45.047.8
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
Third
3478
#26
47.12.8
43.646.4
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
red by 8.0
649
#22
39.12.8
34.937.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned