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Red161
293040.3
167876.8
803340.8
Blue73
425520.6
347645.6
97221.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571105010020016173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.1
71.172.2
Auto18.7
Teleop44.9
End13.2
red by 31.2
3476
#16
45.62.4
48.345.9
Auto12.2
Teleop24.8
End8.6
Second
8033
#23
40.81.1
34.635.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.1
End2.2
red by 19.2
972
#39
21.72.4
31.529.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
Third
2930
#30
40.31.1
35.336.4
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
red by 19.8
4255
#36
20.62.4
29.026.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned