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Red87
325629.2
248641.8
281328.8
Blue103
69639.2
97349.1
84639.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911495020025087103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#25
41.80.4
40.640.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.6
End9.2
blue by 7.4
973
#17
49.12.0
53.551.6
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
Second
3256
#35
29.20.4
27.527.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
blue by 10.1
846
#20
39.32.0
35.933.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
Third
2813
#31
28.80.4
24.624.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End7.9
blue by 10.4
696
#32
39.22.0
43.341.3
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed