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Red117
347847.1
97349.1
49827.5
Blue54
25462.8
97221.7
317527.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129128608010012014016011754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#17
49.11.8
49.047.2
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
blue by 13.7
254
#21
62.84.4
67.062.5
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
Second
3478
#26
47.11.8
45.743.9
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
red by 20.0
3175
#37
27.24.4
25.120.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Third
498
#29
27.51.8
25.723.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End6.9
red by 5.8
972
#39
21.74.4
28.624.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned